
Past Performance
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Please remember that technical analysis is only a tool for trading and even targeted analysis is no guarantee of profits. Forex trading carries a substantial risk of loss and only discretionary capital should be used in trading.
Aviso de Alto Risco
Forex é um investimento de alto risco
Negociação com margem nos mercados cambiais carrega um alto nível de risco, e pode não ser adequado para todos os indivíduos. O elevado grau de alavancagem oferecido nos mercados de Forex pode trabalhar contra você, bem como em seu favor. Antes de se decidir por negociar nos mercados cambiais você deve considerar cuidadosamente os seus objetivos de investimento, o seu nível de experiência, e apetite para risco. Existe a possibilidade de sustentar uma perda de parte ou da totalidade de seu capital próprio e, portanto, você não deve investir dinheiro que não possa se dar ao luxo de perder. Apenas capital verdadeiramente descartável e em excesso deverá ser utilizado em operações. Você deve estar ciente de todos os riscos associados à negociação de divisas e procurar aconselhamento de um consultor financeiro independente se você tiver alguma dúvida ou preocupação quanto à forma como uma perda possa afetar o seu estilo de vida
The global foreign exchange market is the largest, most active market in the world. Trading in the forex markets takes place nearly round the clock with over $1 trillion changing hands every day. It is the main event
The benefits of forex over currency futures trading are considerable. The dissimilarities between the two instruments range from philosophical realities such as the history of each, their target audience, and their relevance in the modern forex markets, to more tangible issues such as transactions fees, margin requirements, access to liquidity, ease of use and the technical and educational support offered by providers of each service. These differences are outlined below:
- More Volume = Better Liquidity. Daily currency futures volume on the CME is just 1% of the volume seen every day in the forex markets. Incomparable liquidity is one of many advantages that forex markets hold over currency futures. Truth be told, this is old news. Any currency professional can tell you that cash has been king since the dawn of the modern currency markets in the early 1970's. The real news is that individual traders from every risk profile now have full access to the opportunities available in the forex markets.
- Forex markets offer tighter bid to offer spreads than currency futures markets. By inverting the futures price to compare it to cash, you can readily see that in the USD/CHF example above, inverting the futures dealing price of .5894 - .5897 results in a cash price of 1.6958 - 1.6966, 8 pips vs. the 5-pip spread available in the cash markets.
- Forex markets offer higher leverage and lower margin rates than those found in currency futures trading. When trading currency futures, traders have one margin rate for "day" trades and another for "overnight" positions. These margin rates can vary depending on transaction size. Currency trading gives the customer one rate all the time, day and night.
- Forex markets utilize easily understood and universally used terms and price quotes. Currency futures quotes are inversions of the cash price. For example, if the cash price for USD/CHF is 1.2600/1.2605, the futures equivalent is .7933/ .7937; a methodology followed only in the confines of futures trading.
Currency futures prices have the added complication of including a forward forex component that takes into account a time factor, interest rates and the interest differentials between various currencies. The forex markets require no such adjustments, mathematical manipulation or consideration for the interest rate component of futures contracts.
- Trades executed through the Forex Market are generally based of a bid ask spread. Currency futures have the added baggage of trading commissions, exchange fees and clearing fees. These fees can add up quickly and seriously eat into a trader's profits. In contrast, currency futures are a small part of a much larger market; one that has undergone historical changes over the last decade.
- In contrast, currency futures are a small part of a much larger market; one that has undergone historical changes over the last decade.
- Currency futures contracts (called IMM contracts or international monetary market futures) were created at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in 1972.
- These contracts were created for the market professionals, who at that time, accounted for 99% of the volume generated in the currency markets.
- While some intrepid individuals did speculate in currency futures, highly trained specialists dominated the pits.
- Rather than becoming a hub for global currency transactions, currency futures became more of a sideshow (relative to the cash markets) for hedgers and arbitragers on the prowl for small, momentary anomalies between cash and futures currency prices.
- In what appears to be a permanent rather than cyclical change, fewer and fewer of these arbitrage windows are opening these days. And, when they do, they are immediately slammed shut by a swarm of professional dealers.
These changes have significantly reduced the number of currency futures professionals, closed the window further on forex vs. futures arbitrage opportunities and so far, have paved the way to more orderly markets. And while a more level playing field is poison to the P&L of a currency futures trader, it's been the pathway out of the maze for individuals trading in the forex markets.
OTC cash foreign exchange is not traded on an organized exchange like the Chicago Board of Trade or other instutionalized futures exchanges. The OTC market and its inherent liquidity moves around the world on a continuous basis and is not "closed" at the end of the day to allow for different day sessions and overnight sessions. The OTC market is based on the global market pricing for currencies made by banks and foreign exchange dealers rather than just one exchange. The majority of global foreign currency dealers and banks are compensated on the difference between the bid/ask spread in the currency price offered to participating traders and/or the ability to accumulate positions on a proprietary basis and assume the risk of the net open positions they carry. Futures exchanges and their clearing members and introducers are compensated by exchange, clearing, brokerage fees, electronic access fees, commissions, and quote fees. Like futures trading, trading in the foreign exchange markets involves the very significant risk of loss and individual traders should only use true discretionary capital for trading. The leverage offered in foreign exchange, which is typically much greater than that offered in the futures market, can work in the trader's favor if the trader is right and can work significantly against the trader if the trader is wrong. Traders should be aware of all the risks associated with trading in the foreign exchange market before trading and should take the time to educate themselves on the risks associated with such trading. Since the foreign exchange market is a global dynamic market place traders must realize that there is no way to eliminate risk and learning how to take and manage risk is an essential part of trading.