Forex
vs. Futures
The global foreign exchange market is the largest,
most active market in the world. Trading in the
forex markets takes place nearly round the clock
with over $1 trillion changing hands every day.
It is the main event.
The benefits of forex over currency futures
trading are considerable. The dissimilarities
between the two instruments range from philosophical
realities such as the history of each, their target
audience, and their relevance in the modern forex
markets, to more tangible issues such as transactions
fees, margin requirements, access to liquidity,
ease of use and the technical and educational
support offered by providers of each service.
These differences are outlined below:
• More Volume = Better Liquidity.
Daily currency futures volume on the CME is
just 1% of the volume seen every day in the
forex markets. Incomparable liquidity is one
of many advantages that forex markets hold over
currency futures. Truth be told, this is old
news. Any currency professional can tell you
that cash has been king since the dawn of the
modern currency markets in the early 1970's.
The real news is that individual traders from
every risk profile now have full access to the
opportunities available in the forex markets.
• Forex markets offer tighter bid to offer
spreads than currency futures markets. By inverting
the futures price to compare it to cash, you
can readily see that in the USD/CHF example
above, inverting the futures dealing price of
.5894 - .5897 results in a cash price of 1.6958
- 1.6966, 8 pips vs. the 5-pip spread available
in the cash markets.
• Forex markets offer higher leverage
and lower margin rates than those found in currency
futures trading. When trading currency futures,
traders have one margin rate for "day"
trades and another for "overnight"
positions. These margin rates can vary depending
on transaction size. Currency trading gives
the customer one rate all the time, day and
night.
• Forex markets utilize easily understood
and universally used terms and price quotes.
Currency futures quotes are inversions of the
cash price. For example, if the cash price for
USD/CHF is 1.2600/1.2605, the futures equivalent
is .7933/ .7937; a methodology followed only
in the confines of futures trading.
Currency futures prices have the added complication
of including a forward forex component that takes
into account a time factor, interest rates and
the interest differentials between various currencies.
The forex markets require no such adjustments,
mathematical manipulation or consideration for
the interest rate component of futures contracts.
• Trades executed through the Forex
Market are nearly always commission free. Currency
futures have the added baggage of trading commissions,
exchange fees and clearing fees. These fees
can add up quickly and seriously eat into a
trader's profits.
In contrast, currency futures are a small part
of a much larger market; one that has undergone
historical changes over the last decade.
• Currency futures contracts (called IMM
contracts or international monetary market futures)
were created at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange
in 1972.
• These contracts were created for the
market professionals, who at that time, accounted
for 99% of the volume generated in the currency
markets.
• While some intrepid individuals did
speculate in currency futures, highly trained
specialists dominated the pits.
• Rather than becoming a hub for global
currency transactions, currency futures became
more of a sideshow (relative to the cash markets)
for hedgers and arbitragers on the prowl for
small, momentary anomalies between cash and
futures currency prices.
• In what appears to be a permanent rather
than cyclical change, fewer and fewer of these
arbitrage windows are opening these days. And,
when they do, they are immediately slammed shut
by a swarm of professional dealers.
These changes have significantly reduced the
number of currency futures professionals, closed
the window further on forex vs. futures arbitrage
opportunities and so far, have paved the way to
more orderly markets. And while a more level playing
field is poison to the P&L of a currency futures
trader, it's been the pathway out of the maze
for individuals trading in the forex markets.
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